Nigeria’s Agricultural Sector Braces for Climate Challenges in 2026

Dayo Thomas

Nigeria’s agricultural sector is gearing up for a challenging 2026, with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) predicting variable weather patterns, warmer temperatures, and changing rainfall distributions across the country. The agency’s Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP) for 2026 warns of potential droughts, floods, and heatwaves that could significantly impact crop yields and food security

The SCP predicts early rainfall onset in southern states like Bayelsa, Rivers, and Akwa Ibom, as well as parts of Oyo, Kebbi, and Niger. In contrast, Borno State is expected to experience a late rainfall onset. The agency also forecasts severe dry spells in several states, including Oyo, Ogun, Bauchi, and others. Additionally, the August Break is expected to be severe and prolonged in Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, and parts of Oyo states

To mitigate these climate risks, NiMet is urging farmers to rely on predicted onset dates and consult with local agricultural experts. The agency is also working to improve weather forecasting and provide more accurate climate information to support Nigeria’s agricultural development. By leveraging climate data and early warning systems, farmers and policymakers can make informed decisions to reduce the impacts of climate change on agriculture